Saturday, June 11, 2005

Pulling out the Stops

Seven tenths separate the top seven.
Barring any major incident this race will be won on race strategy.
I believe Ferrari and BAR are on a three (3) stop, so are Sauber. Renault and JPM are on a two (2) along with Williams, Toyota and Red Bull. Kimi’s seventh is due to being on a full tank, yes, a one (1) stop. Minardi and Jordan are probably on a three (3), but does it really matter?

Wednesday, June 08, 2005

Canadian Predictions, Wet/Dry

Do we need water to make the season more entertaining? Has Bridgestone got its wets right? It doesn’t hurt and yes.
Ferrari will dominate, from pole to Michael (1) and Rubens (2). Kimi (3) will be well behind but chased closely by Fisi (4) and Alonso (5). Heidfeld (6) continues driving like a veteran and the veteran David (7) shows another of the Red Bulls strengths. JPM (8) slides off a couple times but his McLaren makes up it. Trulli (9) out drives Webber (10) and Ralf (11). The odds favor Ville finishing (12). Button (13) can’t keep control of his BAR and Sato (14) doesn’t finish, but he is the last to not finish. Klien (15), Massa (16), Karthi (17), Monte (18), Albers (19) and Fries (20) drop out or fall off in the order provided.
If the track stays dry my order shuffles the Ferrari's to the middle of the field. Kimi (1), Fisi (2), Alonso (3), JPM (4), Heidfeld (5), Trulli (6), Webber (7), Rubens (8) Ralf (9), Button (10), Michael (11), David (12), Sato (13), Massa (14), Klien (15), Ville (16), Karthi (17), Monte (18), Albers (19), Fries (20).

Briatore Spins His Wheels

Flavio Briatore, Renault Managing Director says, "the sport is becoming more of a tyre championship rather than a car one”, and to some extent he is right. The races this year have been to exciting for me to complain about it though. That Briatore, ahead in drivers and constructors championships, said it, is what I find interesting.
First, no one at Ferrari made this comment over the last few years, either did Briatore for that matter. Though the One Tire Rule has it’s impact it is felt equally through the field. The pendulum has swung and Michelin (over 200,000 km of test data) are on top. Bridgestone (40,000 km test data), only on two of the ten teams don’t have enough time to adapt to the new rule. I guarantee the money saved by limiting tires at the track was spent in the lab.
Second, Briatore’s comment has a hint of lament, even though Renault is ahead in the Championships, the Championships are some how tarnished by Ferrari’s (Bridgestone’s) lack of performance.
Third is connected to two in that his comment shows his passion for Formula 1 and the competition. Though it’s far from in the bag, how many people in the lead in any field would make a negative comment on about the thing that is giving them the advantage.
Lastly, if it’s just down to the tires, all cars on the same tires would help level the playing field, but who wants another IRL or Champ series. I don’t and neither does Briatore.

Tuesday, June 07, 2005

Michael Catches Senna

I am proving my point with the poles and disproving any thing I had thought about the Senna / Michael comparison, percentage wise(stats. fed by F1db). Senna 162 starts 105 finishes 64.87%, Michael 218 starts, 172 finishes 78.54%. Senna 80 podiums, 49.38%, Michael 138, 63.01%. Times in points - Senna 96, 59.26%, Michael 166, 75.80%. Poles are the point RE. Michael can’t beat Senna. Fastest lap, Senna 19, 11.73%, Michael 68, 31.05%. Doubles, Senna 29, 17.90%, Michael 37, 16.89%. Triples, Senna 7, 4.32%, Michael 20, 9.13%.
Michael leads percentage wise in all categories, save the afore mentioned poles and in the doubles. Senna also has a large percentage of retirements 56, 34.57%, Michael 47, 21.46%.
I am sure all of this means something, just not what I want it to. I wanted a reason for Michael to be as hungary as he is. It’s not in the stats. Michael is just a racer. So, I will repeat myself and say that I would not have a problem with Ferrari winning the Constructors Championship or Michael winning the Drivers Championship.